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TDW > SEC Filings for TDW > Form 10-Q on 29-Oct-2009All Recent SEC Filings

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Form 10-Q for TIDEWATER INC


29-Oct-2009

Quarterly Report


ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Forward Looking Information and Cautionary Statement

In accordance with the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, the company notes that this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and the information incorporated herein by reference contain certain forward-looking statements which reflect the company's current view with respect to future events and financial performance. Any such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, and the company's future results of operations could differ materially from its historical results or current expectations. Some of these risks are discussed in this report and include, without limitation, fluctuations in worldwide energy demand and oil and gas prices; fleet additions by competitors and industry overcapacity; changes in capital spending by customers in the energy industry for offshore exploration, development and production; changing customer demands for different vessel specifications, which may make some of our older vessels technologically obsolete for certain customer projects or in certain markets; instability of global financial markets and difficulty in accessing credit or capital; acts of terrorism and piracy; significant weather conditions; unsettled political conditions, war, civil unrest and governmental actions, especially in higher risk countries of operations; foreign currency fluctuations; and enforcement of laws related to the environment, labor and foreign corrupt practices.

Forward-looking statements, which can generally be identified by the use of such terminology as "may," "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," "forecast," "believe," "think," "could," "continue," "intend," "seek," "plan," and similar expressions contained in this report, are predictions and not guarantees of future performance or events. Any forward-looking statements are based on current industry, financial and economic information, which the company has assessed but which by its nature is dynamic and subject to rapid and possibly abrupt changes. The company's actual results could differ materially from those stated or implied by such forward-looking statements due to risks and uncertainties associated with our business. While management believes that these forward-looking statements are reasonable as and when made, there can be no assurance that future developments that affect us will be those that we anticipate and have identified. The forward-looking statements should be considered in the context of the risk factors listed above and discussed in Items 1, 1A, 2 and 7 included in the company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended March 31, 2009, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on May 14, 2009 and elsewhere in the Form 10-Q. Investors and prospective investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. Management disclaims any obligation to update or revise the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect new information, future events or developments.

In addition, in certain places in this report, we refer to reports published by third parties that purport to describe trends or developments in energy production and drilling and exploration activity. The company does so for the convenience of our stockholders and in an effort to provide information available in the market that will assist the company's investors in a better understanding of the market environment in which the company operates. However, the company specifically disclaims any responsibility for the accuracy and completeness of such information and undertakes no obligation to update such information.

The following information contained in this Form 10-Q should be read in conjunction with the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included in Item 1 of this Quarterly Report and related disclosures and the company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended March 31, 2009, filed with the SEC on May 14, 2009.

Our Business

The company provides offshore service vessels and equipment to the global offshore energy industry through the operation of a diversified fleet of marine service vessels. Tidewater is one of the most internationally diverse companies in the offshore energy industry with over five decades of international experience and, at September 30, 2009, had 398 vessels (including joint-venture vessels and vessels withdrawn from service) servicing the energy industry. The company's revenues, net earnings and cash flows from operations are dependent upon the activity level of the vessel fleet. Like other energy service companies, the level of the company's business activity is driven by the level of drilling and exploration activity by our customers. Their


activity, in turn, is dependent on crude oil and natural gas prices, which fluctuate depending on respective levels of supply and demand for crude oil and natural gas.

The company's revenues are driven primarily by the company's fleet size, vessel utilization and day rates. Because a sizeable portion of the company's operating costs and its depreciation does not change proportionally with changes in revenue, the company's operating profit is largely dependent on revenue levels. Operating costs consist primarily of crew costs, repair and maintenance, insurance and loss reserves, fuel, lube oil and supplies and vessel operating lease expense.

Fleet size, fleet composition, geographic areas of operation and the supply and demand for marine personnel are the major factors which affect overall crew costs. In addition, the company's newer, more technologically sophisticated anchor handling towing supply vessels and platform supply vessels generally require a greater number of specially trained fleet personnel than the company's older, smaller vessels. The company believes that competition for skilled crew personnel may again intensify, particularly in international markets, as, according to ODS-Petrodata, 571 new-build support vessels are currently under construction, although the number and timing of delivery of new-build support vessels is currently in question given the global recession and tight financial markets, which may influence the ultimate number of vessels built and delivered. If competition for personnel intensifies, the company's crew costs will likely increase.

The timing and amount of repair and maintenance costs are influenced by customer demand, vessel age and safety and inspection drydockings mandated by regulatory agencies. A certain number of drydockings are required within a given period to meet regulatory requirements. Drydocking costs are incurred only if the company believes a drydocking can be justified economically, taking into consideration the vessel's age, physical condition and future marketability. If the company elects to forego a required drydocking, the company will either stack or sell the vessel, as it is not permitted to work without currently valid regulatory certifications. When the company drydocks a productive vessel, the company not only foregoes vessel revenues and incurs drydocking cost, but also continues to incur vessel operating and vessel depreciation costs. In any given period, downtime associated with drydockings and major repairs and maintenance can have a significant effect on the company's revenues and operating costs.

At times, drydockings take on an increased importance to the company and its financial performance. The company's older vessels require more frequent and more expensive repair and drydockings, while some of its vessels built after 2000 are now experiencing their first or second required regulatory drydockings. Conversely, as the company continues to stack vessels, the number of drydockings in any period could decline. The combination of these factors can affect the company's expenditures for drydockings and can incrementally increase the volatility of the company's operating revenues and operating costs, thus making period-to-period comparisons more difficult. Although the company attempts to efficiently manage its fleet drydocking schedule to minimize any disruptive effect on its revenues and costs, inflationary pressures on shipyard pricing experienced in recent years, and the heavy workloads at the shipyards, resulted in increased drydocking costs and increased days off hire at shipyards (thereby, increasing the company's loss of revenue on the drydocked vessel). The company cannot predict if the drydocking situation will improve in the foreseeable future. If there is no improvement, the company expects that the timing of drydockings in the future will result in continued quarterly volatility in repair and maintenance costs and loss in revenue. Fuel and lube costs can also fluctuate in any given period depending on the number of vessel mobilizations that occur.

Insurance and loss reserves costs are dependent on a variety of factors, including the company's safety record and the cost of insurance, and can fluctuate from time to time. The company's vessels are generally insured for their estimated market value against damage or loss resulting from marine casualties, adverse weather conditions, mechanical failure, collisions, and property losses to the vessel.

The company also incurs vessel operating costs which are aggregated under the "other" vessel operating cost heading. These costs consist of brokers' commissions, training costs and other costs. Brokers' commission costs are incurred primarily in the company's international operations where brokers assist in obtaining work for the company's vessels. Brokers generally are paid a percentage of day rates and, accordingly, commissions paid to brokers generally fluctuate in accordance with vessel revenue. Other costs include, but are not limited to, satellite communication fees, agent fees, port fees, canal transit fees, vessel certification fees and temporary vessel importation fees.


The company has previously reported in its periodic filings that it was in discussions with Sonangol, the national oil company of Angola, regarding a Sonangol proposal to increase its control over Sonatide Marine Services Ltd., an Angolan joint venture between Sonangol and a Tidewater subsidiary. The company has an indirect 49% ownership interest in Sonatide. The company has reached agreement with Sonangol on certain amendments to the joint venture agreement that will increase Sonangol's control over the operations of Sonatide. Sonangol and the company, however, continue to have dialogue regarding additional changes proposed by Sonangol to Sonatide's practices and procedures that, if adopted, would further Sonangol's control over Sonatide's day-to-day operations, including treasury functions. Discussions continue as the parties seek to reach an amicable resolution of these additional issues, consistent with all legal requirements; however, no assurance can be given that agreement between the parties will be reached on these issues. The consequences of failing to reach agreement on these remaining matters are not currently known, but the failure to reach agreement could impair the company's ability to continue to compete effectively for business in Angola in the future. More Tidewater vessels are deployed in Angola than in any of Tidewater's other countries of operation, and a significant portion of revenues derived from the company's largest customer, Chevron, are derived through the company's operations in Angola.

Macroeconomic Environment and Outlook

Worldwide demand for oil and gas dropped precipitously and energy prices sharply declined during the last half of calendar 2008 as a result of a global economic recession. One year later, there are some early signs that economic improvement is underway; however, the pace of improvement has been slow. The company is evaluating the current trends in the global economy to determine how these trends are affecting the development plans of exploration and production (E&P) companies and global demand for its offshore vessels. The company is also evaluating the impact the global recession and instability in credit and capital markets have on the ability of shipyards to meet their scheduled deliveries of new vessels or the ability of the company to renew its fleet through new vessel construction or acquisitions. Assessing the current situation is challenging given the tenuous state of the global economy and the financial and commodity markets. During the first half of fiscal 2010, the global recession resulted in a decrease in demand for offshore support vessel services primarily in the United States (U.S.) Gulf of Mexico (GOM), leading to an industry-wide reduction in charter rates and utilization rates on vessels operating in the U.S. GOM. Even though there are signs that the recession is ending, the current trends in exploration, development and production activity continue to be challenging, and customers are actively seeking pricing concessions from the company.

OPEC, in an effort to stabilize falling crude oil prices, cut production of crude oil by 4.2 million barrels per day (a nearly 5% cut in global oil supplies) as of January 1, 2009. OPEC's production curtailment appears to have stabilized crude oil prices, which were trading in the range of $65 to $75 per barrel during the quarter ended September 30, 2009. Although this price range is far below its all time closing high of approximately $147 per barrel in mid-July 2008, it is significantly higher than the low $30's price levels experienced during the first quarter of calendar 2009. At the OPEC meeting held in September 2009, OPEC officials stated that the current level of OPEC production will remain unchanged because crude oil market demand fundamentals are still weak and inventories for the resource are oversupplied. Given the weak supply/demand fundamentals of crude oil, it is unknown whether crude oil prices will remain at current price levels or whether these price levels will support significant amounts of exploration and production spending by oil and gas companies. Due to the uncertainty of the direction of oil pricing and demand, management is unable to predict what the company's actual experience will be; however, given the historical strong correlation between commodity prices, drilling and exploration activity and demand for the company's vessels in the various international markets, the company expects that utilization and day rates for its international-based vessels will weaken if crude oil prices decrease and/or remain at depressed levels. The company's international customers, including some of our more significant clients, are actively seeking pricing concessions from the company, and the company is addressing requests for pricing concessions on a case-by-case basis. In response to the weaker crude oil price and its effect on E&P spending, the company began stacking and removing from its active international-based fleet those vessels that cannot find attractive charter hire contracts.

The number of operating drilling rigs in the U.S. offshore market is generally the primary driver of the company's expected activity levels and future profitability in the U.S. market. The offshore rig count in the GOM remains at historically low levels, in part because the strength of the international drilling market has attracted numerous offshore drilling rigs from the U.S. to various international markets over the past few years.


Even before the global economic crisis occurred, exploration and development activity in the GOM had fallen off significantly, particularly in non-deepwater areas. As a consequence, the demand for offshore marine vessels in the shallow water GOM diminished over the past few years and declined further due to the deterioration in the global business environment and economy, the significant reduction in commodity prices (particularly natural gas pricing) and relative illiquidity in the credit and capital markets. At September 30, 2009, total mobile offshore rig utilization in the U.S. GOM was approximately 46%, the lowest of any major offshore rig market. Over the longer term, the company's U.S.-based fleet should be affected more by the active offshore rig count in the United States than by any other single outside influence. In addition, consolidation could result in the absorption of an oil and gas company with which the company has a strong commercial relationship into another company with which the company does not have such a relationship.

The prices of crude oil and natural gas are critical factors in E&P companies' decisions to retain their drilling rigs in the GOM market or mobilize their rigs to international markets. The company's United States results of operations are primarily dependent on the supply and demand relationship for natural gas, while the company's international results of operations are primarily dependent on the supply and demand relationship of crude oil. Prices for crude oil and natural gas have fallen dramatically from their respective peaks achieved in calendar year 2008 due to a global recession that has caused a precipitous drop in worldwide demand for oil and gas.

Before the onset of the global recession, natural gas prices were declining from a peak of $13.00 per Mcf in July 2008, in part, because inventory levels for natural gas increased more than expected during the summer of 2008 and remained at high levels even during the winter drawdown season, despite a relatively cold winter, due to the strong supply growth and weak demand (particularly from the industrial sector) resulting from the global recession. At the end of September 2009, natural gas prices were trading in the $2.30 to $3.60 per Mcf range which is significantly lower than pricing in July 2008. Analysts are currently reporting that natural gas inventories are well oversupplied on a year-over-year basis. These same analysts expressed that natural gas prices will not increase meaningfully until market-driven production shut-ins shrink gas supply or demand increases. Given the high inventory levels of natural gas, the company believes that it is unlikely that natural gas demand will increase significantly over the winter drawdown season unless the pace of economic recovery increases and/or a particularly cold winter increases demand for the resource. Given the historically strong correlation among commodity prices, drilling and exploration activity and demand for the company's vessels in the GOM, the company expects utilization rates and day rates for its vessels in the GOM market to remain weak, particularly if natural gas prices deteriorate, and, as such, management anticipates the company's U.S.-based results of operations during the remainder of fiscal 2010 will compare unfavorable with fiscal 2008 and 2009. In response to the deterioration of the GOM market, the company began to stack and remove from its active fleet those vessels that cannot find attractive charter hire contracts. In recent months, drydockings associated with stacked vessels have been deferred. In addition, as a result of the reduced number of active vessels in the U.S. GOM, crew personnel reductions have taken place, and effective June 1, 2009, wages on the remaining crew personnel in the U.S. GOM were reduced by approximately 15%.

The company's assets are highly mobile. Historically, when the U.S. market weakened, the company redeployed some of its vessels to international markets where, market conditions permitting, the vessels could benefit from stronger demand and average day rates from statutory income tax rates that are generally lower than statutory income tax rates in the United States. Given the current challenges in international markets, the company's ability to mitigate the effects of a weakened GOM market by redeploying vessels to other markets has been reduced significantly. The company continues to assess the demand for vessels in the GOM and in the various international markets and may relocate additional vessels to international areas. The cost of mobilizing vessels to a different market is sometimes for the account of the company and sometimes for the account of a contracting customer.

During the quarter ended September 30, 2008, both U.S. President Bush and the U.S. Congress allowed the moratorium on offshore drilling in federal waters along the U.S. Pacific and Atlantic coasts to expire effective October 1, 2008. Although the lifting of the moratorium did not result in immediate drilling, the prospects for the future of offshore drilling in the new regions of the U.S. could be promising; however, there are several potential energy policy changes in Washington D.C. that will likely change how energy in the United States is produced and consumed. Some of the major proposed policy changes (which will not likely take effect or have


a material impact in the near-term) focus on creating energy standards and efficiencies, provide financing for clean energy generation, and emphasize greater renewable energy usage. Other proposed policy changes focus on eliminating some of the drilling tax incentives available to E&P companies, which would likely increase the cost of drilling and, in turn, could negatively affect development plans of E&P companies and/or increase the cost of energy to consumers. The company's management will not be in a position to assess the full impact that the proposed policy changes will have on the offshore energy industry until the policies are adopted. On a more positive note, in June 2009, the U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources voted in favor of a bill that will expand offshore drilling in the eastern Gulf of Mexico, which is currently off limits to offshore drilling.

The deepwater offshore energy market is a growing segment of the energy market and is one sector of the global energy market that has yet to experience any significant negative effects from the global economic recession. During the past few years, worldwide rig construction escalated as rig owners capitalized on the high worldwide demand for drilling. Reports published during the most recently completed quarter suggest that over the next three years, the worldwide moveable drilling rig count (currently estimated at approximately 765 movable rigs worldwide, approximately thirty percent of which are designed to operate in deeper waters) will increase as approximately 155 new-build rigs that are currently on order and under construction are delivered. It is further estimated that approximately fifty percent of these new build rigs are intended to operate in deeper waters, suggesting that the number of rigs designed to operate in deeper waters could grow over the next couple of years by approximately one third. Investment is also being made in the floating production market, in which approximately 45 new floating production units are currently under construction and are expected to be delivered over the next four years to supplement the current approximately 325 floating production units worldwide. Analysts have reported that several drilling rigs currently on order have been cancelled and/or delayed due to the recent global recession and impaired credit and capital markets, which may influence the ultimate number of rigs built and delivered. Moreover, to the extent the rigs are built and delivered, it is believed that the new build rigs will largely target international regions rather than the GOM due to longer contract durations, generally lower operating costs and higher drilling day rates available in the international markets.

As noted above, 571 new-build support vessels (platform supply vessels and anchor handlers only) are currently estimated to be under construction and are expected to be delivered to the worldwide offshore vessel market over the next three years according to ODS-Petrodata. The current worldwide fleet of these classes of vessels is estimated at approximately 2,200 vessels. An increase in vessel capacity could have the effect of lowering charter rates, particularly in the context of declining levels of exploration, development and production activity. However, the worldwide offshore marine vessel industry has a large number of aging vessels, including approximately 840 that are at least 25 years old, that are nearing or exceeding original expectations of their estimated economic lives. These older vessels could potentially retire from the market within the next few years if the cost of extending the vessels' lives is not economically justifiable. Although the future attrition rate of these aging vessels cannot be accurately predicted, the company believes that the retirement of a portion of these aging vessels would likely mitigate the potential combined negative effects of these new-build vessels on vessel utilization and vessel pricing. Additional vessel demand should be created with the addition of new drilling rigs and floating production units over the next few years that is referenced above, which should help minimize the negative effects of up to 571 new-build support vessels (platform supply vessels and anchor handlers only) being added to the offshore support vessel fleet. It is unknown at this time the full extent to which the recent global recession will influence the utilization of equipment currently in existence or the ultimate timing of delivery and placing into service of new drilling rigs, floating production units and vessels currently under construction. Analysts have reported some offshore vessel construction contract cancellations as a result of the foregoing factors, which may reduce the ultimate number of vessels built and delivered.


Fiscal 2010 Business Highlights

During the first half of fiscal 2010, the company continued to focus on maintaining its competitive advantages, increasing its presence in international markets, continuing to modernize its vessel fleet in order to generate future earnings capacity while removing from active service certain traditional vessels that were not providing adequate returns given the current market environment. A key element of the company's strategy continues to be the preservation of its strong cash position to support the expansion of the industry's largest fleet of new vessels.

The company's consolidated net earnings for the first half of fiscal 2010 decreased 21%, or $37.5 million, due to a 10% decrease in total revenues during the six months ended September 30, 2009 as compared to the same period during fiscal 2009, and to a $49.1 million provision for Venezuelan operations as disclosed in Note 6 of Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements, partially offset by approximately 12% lower vessel operating costs and the reversal of $34.3 million income tax liabilities as disclosed in Note 3 of Notes to Unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements. Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements are included in Part I, Item 1 of this report.

The company recorded $622.1 million in revenues during the first half of fiscal 2010, which is a decrease of approximately 9%, or $64.8 million, as compared to the revenue earned during the same period of fiscal 2009, due to the loss of revenue from the company's Venezuelan operations and to an approximate five percentage point reduction in total worldwide utilization. During first half of fiscal 2010, the company's Venezuelan operations contributed $11.3 million of revenues as compared to $30.6 million of revenues contributed during the same period of fiscal 2009. The company's international-based vessel revenues decreased approximately 6%, or $35.0 million, during the first half of fiscal 2010 as compared to the same period in fiscal 2009, while the U.S. vessel revenues decreased approximately $33.0 million, or 41%, during the same comparative period. Other marine revenues increased approximately $3.3 million, or 24%, during the same comparative periods. International-based vessel operating costs decreased approximately 8%, or $24.4 million, while the company's U.S.-based vessel operating costs decreased approximately 36%, or . . .

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